The True Cost of Gasoline: $10 /gallon at the pump

Real Cost of oil Equates to $10 Gallon Gasoline
Source: IAGS
[Apr 02, 2006]

SYNOPSIS: Milton Copulos, president of the [National Defense Council Foundation] and Senior Fellow at the [Institute for the Analysis of Global Security] tells Senate the ‘hidden cost’ premium for imported oil amounts to $825 billion.

“A set of oil supply disruptions similar in scope to those of the 1970 could carry a price tag as high as $8 Trillion - a figure equal to 62.5% of our annual GDP or nearly $27,000 for every man, woman and child living in America,” warned Milton Copulos, president of the National Defense Council Foundation and Senior Fellow at the Institute for the Analysis of Global Security (IAGS).

Copulos, a founding member of the Set America Free Coalition, presented these figures yesterday at a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing on “The Hidden Cost of Oil.” In his testimony he released newly updated figures of his 2003 study “America’s Achilles Heel: The Hidden Costs of Imported Oil,” a comprehensive analysis of the external costs of imported oil. The study computed the externalities of imported oil and divided them into three basic categories: Direct and Indirect economic costs, oil Supply Disruption Impacts and military Expenditures in a non-war year.

Adding up the above, the hidden cost of oil imports skyrocketed to $779.5 billion in 2005. That would be equivalent to adding $4.10 to the price of a gallon of gasoline if amortized over the total volume of imports. For Persian Gulf imports, because of the enormous military costs associated with the region, the “hidden cost” was equal to adding $7.41 cents to the price of a gallon of gasoline. When the nominal cost is combined with this figure it yields a “true” cost of $9.53 per gallon.

This year, Copulos said, will present an even higher cost. “Because the price of crude oil is expected to remain in the $60 range this year, expenditures for imports are expected to be at least $320 billion. That amounts to an increase of $70 billion in spending for foreign oil in just one year. That increase would raise the total import premium or “hidden cost” to $825.1 billion, or almost twice the President’s $419.3 billion defense budget request for fiscal year 2006. If all costs are amortized over the total volume of imports, that would be equivalent to adding $5.04 to the price of a gallon of gasoline. For Persian Gulf imports, the premium would be $8.35. This would bring the “real” price of a gallon of gasoline refined from Persian Gulf oil to $10.86. At these prices the “real” cost of filling up a family sedan is $217.20, and filling up a large SUV $325.80.”

I had an IM exchange today with a veteran of three tours in the Middle East who wishes he could forget everything about all of them. So we put our troops through hell so we can continue our addiction? So we sacrifice thousands to support our inability to change? Tens of thousands have been maimed, killed, and scared forever so we can warm the planet and melt the ice without asking why, or challenging the Carbon Barons’ profit motives? Is this what they sacrificed for? It just about makes it immoral to use oil.

It is time we knew what the true, fully loaded, cost of gasoline and heating oil are. We cannot pretend that the fully loaded price does NOT include the cost of the military’s role in “securing” oil profits for the majors as appear to be the case in Iraq. The military cost of oil is NOT and externality that can be conveniently ignored. If we honestly believe in the power of a fair market economy, isn’t this what we should be paying at the pump, to heat our homes? The prices we are paying today are feel good fictions to keep us ignorant and addicted. Do the rules of the market economy only apply to everyone else, but not us? Are we been reduced to that level of hypocrisy?

What would you change if you were paying $10, or more, per gallon to drive to the mall? To work from suburbia? To buy a six pack? Go to the movies? To go to the ball game?

Does anyone have better, more current, data on the true cost of gasoline and heating oil? The price we would pay if we told ourselves the truth?

-- JockGill

vm Says:

jock, i’m curious when you raise these questions, how you on a practical level currently respond. i know as my connection to the arctic and global warming deepened over the last 2 years or so, i’ve been more accutely aware of my ecological footprint. (as well as this impression of the Iraq war being much about oil and war industry as any tangential or stated objective, and i can’t deny the blood paid for). so now we’ve got florescent bulbs in our sockets and recycling pretty full on, yada yada, but i still can’t quite get mself to ride the bike 40 minutes into work and can’t afford a hybrid…. it is easy to see how wonderfully focussed you are on the work of spreading information, and you seem wonderfully informed, but what it is like for you reconciling little things on more personal scale?

JockGill Says:

VM,

I do what you do. Try to find little ways to move towards where I want to be, realizing it will be a long journey. I drive a four cylinder car until I can afford a hybrid. But have to drive a lot of miles here in Vermont. I do drive at a steady 2500 rpm via my cruise control to travel as efficiently as I can in the car I have.

I am also a cofounder of a biofuels startup working to make pelletized biomass an everyday way to heat your house, school, office, whole industrial building.

One of the little things I am doing is using biofuels in my old house to cut down on the amount of oil I have to burn for heat.

If we all worked on doing little things and looked for more to do on a regular basis - being open to new ways of doing everyday things in general, we can get a lot done.

Lastly, I am working to eat and drnk less oil. For expample, I no longer buy products with high fructose corn syrup in them. This can be quite a challenge!

MattShanley Says:

I lived in Ithaca, NY for several years, where trash collection isn’t covered by taxes, but by paying for each bag you leave on the curb. You would have to buy stickers for the supermarket and place them on ever bag or can of trash to be collected. It always seemed to me that people were much more likely to recycle (which was free) or compost when they saw the immediate cost of the wasteful alternative.

What might this sort of approach look like for gasoline? Would it be enough taxes to to account for subsidies to oil companies? Or enough tax to cover all the externalities this article mentions?

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vm Says:

well, that is useful to hear. it is somewhat in my nature to panic, and sometimes the mechanicality of forces at work in the world present quite a forboding pose. so, besides the Al Gore site, as far as you know, is there a running list of somewhere of the little things people do, and why? one of the interesting thing’s in gore’s presentation was the various timelines if certan actions are taken. i wish there were more instruction in actually thinking and catagorical representation of information about this stuff. i feel like there is a lot hesitancy to act and speak, because people aren’t confident in their own analysis and synthesis of what’s out there. well, at least speaking for myself…..

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JockGill Says:

Victor,

Folks might like to listen to some of your music.

Check out: www.thesweepers.com/hhlisten.html

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JockGill Says:

Perhaps a graphic which showed all of the factors built into the price at the pump should be placed on EVERY pump. Just to make sure we know exactly what we are actually paying for.

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vm Says:

folks might, dated as some of that stuff is for me. (one day i’ll get my site up to speed) and yes i suppose anyone who digs can find things for themselves on the internet, but they wouldn’t come across this more recent improv with another friend:
thesweepers.com/sound/aprilfools.mp3
or the even unlikelier trio improv
thesweepers.com/sound/yesnoorthis.mp3
are there sites or media that have helped in your practical assessment of what-to-do-and-why more than others. i didn’t get or remember that about corn syrup, stuff like that…..

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vm Says:

it is almost that simple, at least in principle. that is, that in paying for something the consumer has the right to be presented with know the effects of and choose responsibly his or her purchase. BUT, i get a similar if not somewhat general breakdown on my electricity bill, and i don’t see what i can do about it, except try to use less…. hmmm, have to dig into that sometime.

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